The 2025 San Francisco Giants got off to a great start in real life. In this replay, much less so. The Giants were 19-12 at the end of April 2025, but here they are just 14-17. And that’s fine, because at the end of the day this was a .500 team, so hopefully they will get there eventually.
As with my previous APBA replays, the statistics have been tilted a little bit toward the pitchers. The Giants are hitting 20 points less than their season average and scoring almost a run less per game. The pitchers have an ERA a half-point better than real life.
Among the hitters, Jung Hoo Lee and Tyler Fitzgerald are overperforming, but most everyone else is underperforming. Logan Webb has been quite dominant and has a 1.99 ERA after seven starts, but he’s just 2-3 due to some poor run support. Robbie Ray is 3-1 but has been hit hard his last couple of starts.
It is jarring going to a league with so many strikeouts! Between the Giants and their opponents they are averaging more than 18 in each game.
Five games have been played on my YouTube channel so far.
2025 San Francisco Giants Replay Home Page
| Batting | G | AVG | H/ GM | R/ GM | HR/ GM | SLG | OBP | SB/ GM | BB/ GM | K/ GM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 162 | .235 | 7.8 | 4.4 | 1.1 | .386 | .311 | 0.4 | 3.4 | 8.5 |
| Replay | 31 | .214 | 7.2 | 3.6 | 0.9 | .355 | .272 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 9.9 |
| Pitching | G | ERA | BAA | H/ GM | BB/ GM | K/ GM | WHIP | K/BB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 162 | 3.84 | .248 | 8.4 | 3.2 | 8.4 | 1.297 | 2.68 |
| Replay | 31 | 3.33 | .228 | 7.6 | 2.6 | 8.5 | 1.156 | 3.23 |
| Batters | Actual AVG/SLG/OBP | Replay AVG/SLG/OBP |
|---|---|---|
| Jung Hoo Lee | .266 / .407 / .327 | .308 / .458 / .328 |
| Tyler Fitzgerald | .217 / .327 / .278 | .272 / .446 / .316 |
| Willy Adames | .225 / .421 / .318 | .219 / .414 / .263 |
| Heliot Ramos | .256 / .400 / .328 | .216 / .345 / .292 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | .231 / .355 / .330 | .198 / .363 / .260 |
| Matt Chapman | .231 / .430 / .340 | .183 / .357 / .277 |
| Wilmer Flores | .241 / .379 / .307 | .173 / .288 / .239 |
| Patrick Bailey | .222 / .325 / .277 | .173 / .222 / .212 |
| Lamonte Wade | .167 / .271 / .275 | .163 / .198 / .240 |
Doubles leaders: Jung Hoo Lee 9, Willy Adames 8, Tyler Fitzgerald 6, Heliot Ramos 6.
Triples leaders: Jung Hoo Lee 3, Tyler Fitzgerald 2.
Home Run leaders: Matt Chapman 6, Willy Adames 5, Mike Yastrzemski 4, Wilmer Flores 3.
RBI leaders: Matt Chapman 20, Mike Yastrzemski 15, Jung Hoo Lee 13, Willy Adames 13, Heliot Ramos 12.
Stolen Bases leaders: Tyler Fitzgerald 6, Willy Adames 3.
| Starting Pitchers | Actual ERA/BAA/WHIP | Replay ERA/BAA/WHIP (W-L) |
|---|---|---|
| Logan Webb | 3.22 / .264 / 1.237 | 1.99 / .170 / 0.838 (2-3) |
| Justin Verlander | 3.85 / .261 / 1.362 | 2.48 / .252 / 1.255 (1-3) |
| Robbie Ray | 3.65 / .221 / 1.212 | 4.50 / .227 / 1.176 (3-1) |
| Landen Roupp | 3.80 / .268 / 1.481 | 4.70 / .283 / 1.533 (1-3) |
| Jordan Hicks | 6.47 / .288 / 1.541 | 5.02 / .331 / 1.814 (1-2) |
Save leaders: Camilo Doval 3.
I like to track the starting pitcher quality and how it affects results. I’m the using the master pitcher ratings in this project. With starting pitchers going fewer innings in 2025, this should have less effect than my earlier replays, but I still thought it might be interesting to see if there are any trends.
SF 5+ advantage: 3-3
SF 1-4 advantage: 2-1
Equal starters: 2-1
Opponent 1-4 advantage: 3-7
Opponent 5+ advantage: 4-5
So the Giants have only had a higher-rated starting pitcher in 9 of the first 31 games. Somehow they’ve managed to win more than their share of games when it’s a big difference.
Shutouts (by SF): 1
Shutouts (by opponent): 5
Walkoff wins (by SF): 2
Walk-off wins (by opponent): 3
Extra innings: 2-0
YouTube broadcasts: 2-3
ROGER SPORTS & GAMES 