On its face, the group stage of my 2026 World Cup replay didn’t result in a much different field than the actual round of 32. Twenty-eight of the 32 teams are the same.
But there were a few big changes! Only eight of the 12 group winners repeated in the replay, and the four that fell short consist of some pretty big names, including the co-host United States, the two real-life finalists, Spain and France, as well as Brazil.
Two teams won their group here that didn’t advance to the knockout rounds in real life: Turkey and Uruguay.
All that led to enough changes among the second and third-place teams that only three of the 16 round of 32 matches are the same as real life: England vs. Congo, Switzerland vs. Algeria and Colombia vs. Ghana.
Spain and Brazil’s failures to win their groups have resulted in a couple of matchups that would be worthy of a World Cup final. Spain and Argentina will meet in the round of 32, as will Brazil and Netherlands.
The United States did themselves no favors by not winning the group. If they can get past Egypt in the round of 32, they’ll face the winner of Argentina-Spain.